Rennes vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 19:45
Rennes
01 Full time
Marseille
Rennes 0–1 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 28%
Away 39%

💡 Marseille have a slight edge — leaning Marseille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1559 v 1606 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1606 vs 1559).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesWLLWW1.8 ppg
MarseilleWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1559
Marseille1606
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning30% · 25% · 46%

AI match preview

Rennes and Marseille are projected to be closely matched in this Ligue 1 clash, with an equal expected goals tally of 1.28 each suggesting a tight contest. While Marseille holds a slight edge with a 39% chance to win compared to Rennes' 33%, the model also points to a 28% likelihood of a draw, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With both teams likely to find the net in 54% of scenarios and under 2.5 goals favored in 53%, fans should anticipate a competitive, balanced game. Remember, these predictions are statistical projections — please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Rennes 0–1 Marseille
Sept 2022 Marseille 1–1 Rennes