Lille vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 10 Mar, 20:00
Lille
33 Full time
Lyon
Lille 3–3 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 26%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1526 Lille rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1526).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWWLWD2.0 ppg
LyonWWLWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1580
Lyon1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 26% · 34%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning47% · 30% · 24%

AI match preview

Lille and Lyon are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 50% probability, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight match, with Lille edging Lyon 1.72 to 1.55, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. Given a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.55

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Lille 3–3 Lyon
Oct 2022 Lyon 1–0 Lille