Brest vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 20:00
Brest
12 Full time
Paris SG
Brest 1–2 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 16%
Away 72%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1671 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Paris SG

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1671 vs 1434).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestDLLLW0.8 ppg
Paris SGWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1434
Paris SG1671
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model6% · 15% · 79%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning4% · 13% · 83%

AI match preview

Paris SG heads to Brest as strong favorites with a 72% chance of victory, supported by an impressive expected goals tally of 2.71 compared to Brest’s 0.70. The model suggests a 0-2 scoreline is most probable, with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, indicating potential attacking fireworks. While an away win is favored, the 16% draw probability and 48% chance both teams score highlight the unpredictability inherent in football—please remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.70 – 2.71

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Brest 1–2 Paris SG
Sept 2022 Paris SG 1–0 Brest