Lyon vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 17 Mar, 20:00
Lyon
11 Full time
Nantes
Lyon 1–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 23%
Away 20%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1478 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Nantes

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1478).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWLWDD1.6 ppg
NantesWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1529
Nantes1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 29% · 15%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning56% · 23% · 22%

AI match preview

Lyon host Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 58% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.53 compared to Nantes' 0.69. A tight 1-0 scoreline is the most probable outcome, with draws and away wins less favored at 23% and 20% respectively. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this game could be a closely contested affair; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.69

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Lyon 1–1 Nantes
Jan 2023 Nantes 0–0 Lyon