Montpellier vs Clermont Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 14:00
Montpellier
21 Full time
Clermont
Montpellier 2–1 Clermont

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Montpellier are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1468 v 1453 Montpellier rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Montpellier v Clermont

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1468 vs 1453).
  • Montpellier is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Montpellier
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Clermont
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Clermont. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierWWDWW2.6 ppg
ClermontLLDWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1468
Clermont1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning42% · 25% · 33%

AI match preview

Montpellier hosts Clermont in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives the home side a 46% chance of victory, though a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes at 26% and 28% respectively. Both teams are expected to score, with a 52% probability for BTTS and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, reflecting a tight contest. With total goals projected between 1.14 and 1.35, this game may stay under 2.5 goals, but all predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Montpellier 2–1 Clermont
Nov 2022 Clermont 1–1 Montpellier