Nice vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 14:00
Nice
11 Full time
Lorient
Nice 1–1 Lorient

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Nice are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1583 v 1504 Nice rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1583 vs 1504).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceWDWDD1.8 ppg
LorientLWLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1583
Lorient1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 30% · 25%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning69% · 12% · 19%

AI match preview

Nice enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Lorient, according to the model, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 21%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Nice projected to score 1.44 and Lorient 1.00, making a 1-1 draw a likely scoreline despite the home advantage. With a 44% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams score, fans should anticipate a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Nice 1–1 Lorient
Oct 2022 Lorient 1–2 Nice