Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 14:00
Strasbourg
20 Full time
Auxerre
Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 28%
Away 25%

💡 Strasbourg are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1411 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1428 vs 1411).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgLWDLD1.0 ppg
AuxerreDWWDD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1428
Auxerre1411
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 28% · 24%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning41% · 36% · 23%

AI match preview

Strasbourg holds a slight edge in this Ligue 1 clash with a 47% chance of securing a home win, while Auxerre's chances stand at 25%, and a draw is projected at 28%. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest with Strasbourg likely to score 1.6 goals to Auxerre's 1.08, pointing towards a balanced game that could end in a 1-1 draw. With a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate an open match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre
Aug 2022 Auxerre 1–0 Strasbourg