Troyes vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 14:00
Troyes
22 Full time
Brest
Troyes 2–2 Brest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 31%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1385 v 1428 Brest rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1428 vs 1385).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLLLDL0.2 ppg
BrestLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1385
Brest1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 31% · 34%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning21% · 44% · 35%

AI match preview

Troyes and Brest are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, while a draw holds a close 31% probability. Expected goals are nearly even (1.21 vs 1.19), suggesting a balanced game that could feasibly end 1-1, the most likely scoreline projected. With a moderate 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Troyes 2–2 Brest
Nov 2022 Brest 2–1 Troyes