Auxerre vs Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 17:00
Auxerre
10 Full time
Troyes
Auxerre 1–0 Troyes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 23%
Away 29%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1399 v 1385 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1399 vs 1385).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Troyes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWWDDL1.6 ppg
TroyesLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1399
Troyes1385
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 25% · 39%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning54% · 8% · 37%

AI match preview

Auxerre and Troyes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 48% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting an open game likely to produce around 1.66 to 1.72 goals each, with a 1-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome. With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an entertaining match; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.72

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Auxerre 1–0 Troyes
Nov 2022 Troyes 1–1 Auxerre