Rennes vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 21:00
Rennes
01 Full time
Lens
Rennes 0–1 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 30%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1570 v 1611 Lens rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1611 vs 1570).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Rennes
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesWWLDW2.0 ppg
LensWDDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1570
Lens1611
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 33% · 24%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning26% · 33% · 42%

AI match preview

Rennes and Lens are poised for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36%, closely followed by a home win at 35%, and a draw at 30%. Expected goals suggest a modest scoring affair, with Rennes at 1.25 and Lens at 0.86, making a 1-1 draw the most probable result. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance both teams will score, fans should anticipate a competitive, low-scoring match. Remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Rennes 0–1 Lens
Aug 2022 Lens 2–1 Rennes