Brest vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 2 Apr, 15:00
Brest
31 Full time
Toulouse
Brest 3–1 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 25%
Away 40%

💡 Toulouse have a slight edge — leaning Toulouse, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1475 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1475 vs 1429).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestLLWLD0.8 ppg
ToulouseLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1429
Toulouse1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 26% · 42%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 17% · 49%

AI match preview

Brest and Toulouse face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility. The model projects a competitive encounter with an expected goals tally close to 3.1, suggesting plenty of attacking intent and a 63% probability both teams will score. Most likely, the match will end in a 1-1 draw, but given the 60% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Brest 3–1 Toulouse
Jan 2023 Toulouse 1–1 Brest