Paris SG vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 2 Apr, 20:45
Paris SG
01 Full time
Lyon
Paris SG 0–1 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 18%
Away 17%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1526 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1526).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWWWL2.4 ppg
LyonLWDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1652
Lyon1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 22% · 23%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning68% · 21% · 12%

AI match preview

Paris SG host Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 65% chance of victory, backed by a strong confidence rating of 78/100. The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter with Paris SG likely edging a 2-1 win, while the match has a 72% probability of producing over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance both teams will score. These projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly; always gamble within your means (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.46

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Paris SG 0–1 Lyon
Sept 2022 Lyon 0–1 Paris SG