Nice vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 8 Apr, 21:00
Nice
02 Full time
Paris SG
Nice 0–2 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 24%
Away 50%

💡 Paris SG are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1572 v 1635 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Paris SG

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1635 vs 1572).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceWDDDD1.4 ppg
Paris SGWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1572
Paris SG1635
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 28% · 54%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning31% · 12% · 57%

AI match preview

Paris SG heads to Nice as favorites with a 50% chance of an away win, though the model suggests a closely contested match with a 26% chance for a home win and a 24% draw probability. Expected goals favor Paris SG at 1.58 compared to Nice’s 0.81, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With only a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, this game could be tight and tactically nuanced—remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Nice 0–2 Paris SG
Oct 2022 Paris SG 2–1 Nice