Lyon vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 13:00
Lyon
31 Full time
Rennes
Lyon 3–1 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 26%
Away 31%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1542 v 1558 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1542 vs 1558).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWDDDW1.8 ppg
RennesWLDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1542
Rennes1558
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 32% · 22%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning36% · 23% · 41%

AI match preview

Lyon hosts Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of winning, while a draw and away victory stand at 26% and 31% respectively. The model projects a relatively tight contest with expected goals favoring Lyon 1.28 to 0.81, and the most probable scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.81

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Lyon 3–1 Rennes
Oct 2022 Rennes 3–2 Lyon