Ajaccio vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 15:00
Ajaccio
03 Full time
Auxerre
Ajaccio 0–3 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 33%
Away 34%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 34.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 34.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1352 v 1407 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajaccio v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Auxerre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1407 vs 1352).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioWLLLL0.6 ppg
AuxerreWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1352
Auxerre1407
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 34% · 33%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning27% · 34% · 39%

AI match preview

Ajaccio and Auxerre are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model suggesting a nearly even probability for a home win, draw, or away victory. Both teams are expected to score around one goal each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome, supported by a moderate 43% chance of both teams finding the net. With just a 34% probability for over 2.5 goals, this game may see a balanced, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Ajaccio 0–3 Auxerre
Oct 2022 Auxerre 1–0 Ajaccio