Troyes vs Clermont Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 15:00
Troyes
02 Full time
Clermont
Troyes 0–2 Clermont

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 33%
Away 38%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1376 v 1451 Clermont rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Troyes v Clermont

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Why we predict this

  • Clermont is the stronger side on Power Rating (1451 vs 1376).
  • Clermont is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Clermont
Form Index
Clermont
Goal expectation
Clermont
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Clermont. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLDLDL0.4 ppg
ClermontDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1376
Clermont1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning14% · 53% · 34%

AI match preview

Troyes and Clermont are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38%, but a draw holds the highest probability at 33%. The expected goals suggest a tight game, likely ending 1-1, with under 2.5 goals favored given the 40% chance of a higher-scoring match. Both teams finding the net is possible but not guaranteed, with a 46% BTTS likelihood. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Troyes 0–2 Clermont
Sept 2022 Clermont 1–3 Troyes