Nantes vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 9 Apr, 17:05
Nantes
22 Full time
Monaco
Nantes 2–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 23%
Away 53%

💡 Monaco are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1592 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nantes v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1592 vs 1463).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLLDDL0.4 ppg
MonacoLDLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1463
Monaco1592
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 26% · 57%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning18% · 15% · 67%

AI match preview

Nantes host Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 53% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw and home win stand close at 23% and 24% respectively. Expected goals suggest Monaco may edge the contest offensively (1.74 expected goals to Nantes' 0.84), though the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities near 48%, this encounter could see competitive, tight action—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Nantes 2–2 Monaco
Oct 2022 Monaco 4–1 Nantes