Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 14 Apr, 21:00
Toulouse
12 Full time
Lyon
Toulouse 1–2 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 28%
Away 44%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1556 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1473).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLWLLW1.2 ppg
LyonDDDWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1473
Lyon1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 26% · 41%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 39%
Machine-learning15% · 40% · 46%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives Lyon a 44% chance to win, slightly edging out a home victory or draw at 28% each. With expected goals close at 1.57 for Toulouse and 1.74 for Lyon, a tight 1-1 draw is the most probable exact scoreline. Fans can also anticipate a lively game, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% likelihood both teams scoring; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Toulouse 1–2 Lyon
Oct 2022 Lyon 1–1 Toulouse