Rennes vs Reims Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 15 Apr, 17:00
Rennes
30 Full time
Reims
Rennes 3–0 Reims

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 31%
Away 29%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1544 v 1578 Reims rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1544 vs 1578).
  • Reims is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Reims
Form Index
Reims
Goal expectation
Rennes
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Reims. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesLDWLL0.8 ppg
ReimsWWLWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1544
Reims1578
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 33% · 20%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning26% · 45% · 29%

AI match preview

Rennes hold a slight advantage over Reims with a 41% probability of securing a home win, while a draw and away victory remain viable outcomes at 31% and 29%, respectively. The model anticipates a low-scoring affair, projecting Rennes to edge it 1-0 with expected goals of 1.26 to 0.74, and a modest likelihood of both teams scoring at 39%. Over 2.5 goals looks less probable at 32%, suggesting a tight match; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Rennes 3–0 Reims
Dec 2022 Reims 3–1 Rennes