Lille vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 13:00
Lille
21 Full time
Montpellier
Lille 2–1 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 19%
Away 18%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1584 v 1469 Lille rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1584 vs 1469).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleDDWWL1.6 ppg
MontpellierWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1584
Montpellier1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 22% · 25%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning71% · 18% · 12%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with Montpellier as the clear favorite, holding a 63% chance of securing a home win according to the model, which also projects 2.32 expected goals for Lille against 1.59 for Montpellier. The most probable scoreline is a narrow 2-1 victory, supported by a strong 75% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance that both teams will score. These projections highlight statistical tendencies but remember to gamble responsibly—betting is never certain and should be done by those aged 18 and over.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.59

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 75%

Under 25%

Both teams to score

Yes 73%

No 27%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Lille 2–1 Montpellier
Sept 2022 Montpellier 1–3 Lille