Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 15:00
Auxerre
21 Full time
Nantes
Auxerre 2–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 29%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1427 v 1465 Nantes rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1427 vs 1465).
  • Auxerre is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDDLWW1.6 ppg
NantesLDDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1427
Nantes1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 33% · 37%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 20% · 51%

AI match preview

Auxerre and Nantes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight match, likely ending 1-1, reflecting balanced attacking threats from both sides. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability of both teams scoring, this game may hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Auxerre 2–1 Nantes
Jan 2023 Nantes 1–0 Auxerre