Brest vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 15:00
Brest
10 Full time
Nice
Brest 1–0 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1556 Nice rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1450).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWLDWD1.6 ppg
NiceDDDDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1450
Nice1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 28% · 53%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning14% · 25% · 61%

AI match preview

Brest faces Nice in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a close possibility with a 28% chance. Expected goals suggest a moderately low-scoring game, with Nice slightly ahead at 1.59 expected goals versus Brest's 0.87, and the most likely scoreline projected as 1-1. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring probabilities hovering just below 50%, this match could be tightly contested; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.59

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Brest 1–0 Nice
Nov 2022 Nice 1–0 Brest