Strasbourg vs Ajaccio Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 15:00
Strasbourg
31 Full time
Ajaccio
Strasbourg 3–1 Ajaccio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 24%
Away 18%

💡 Strasbourg are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1432 v 1332 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1432 vs 1332).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Ajaccio
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Ajaccio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgLDWLL0.8 ppg
AjaccioLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1432
Ajaccio1332
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning64% · 21% · 16%

AI match preview

Strasbourg enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Ajaccio, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.61 to 0.96. Despite the home edge, the model suggests a closely contested match with a 24% draw probability and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With both teams scoring predicted at 51% and under 2.5 goals slightly favored, this encounter could offer a balanced and competitive display; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Strasbourg 3–1 Ajaccio
Nov 2022 Ajaccio 4–2 Strasbourg