Auxerre vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 17:00
Auxerre
11 Full time
Lille
Auxerre 1–1 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 22%
Away 60%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1590 Lille rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1590 vs 1437).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDLWWW2.0 ppg
LilleDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1437
Lille1590
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 28% · 55%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning11% · 15% · 75%

AI match preview

Auxerre host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors are favored with a 60% chance of victory, reflecting their stronger offensive potential with an expected 1.57 goals compared to Auxerre's 0.78. The model suggests a tight match, most likely ending 1-0 in Lille's favor, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily finding the net given the 42% and 44% probabilities respectively. These projections provide a statistical perspective on the game, but as always, please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.57

Most likely score

0-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Auxerre 1–1 Lille
Aug 2022 Lille 4–1 Auxerre