Ajaccio vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 15:00
Ajaccio
00 Full time
Brest
Ajaccio 0–0 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 30%
Away 44%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1323 v 1462 Brest rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajaccio v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1462 vs 1323).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioLLLLL0 ppg
BrestLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1323
Brest1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 32% · 49%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 48%
Machine-learning13% · 34% · 53%

AI match preview

Ajaccio host Brest in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 44%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with Brest slightly ahead at 1.34 to Ajaccio's 0.78, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 0-1. With under 2.5 goals and less than half chance of both teams scoring, this match could be tight and cagey; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.34

Most likely score

0-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Ajaccio 0–0 Brest
Sept 2022 Brest 0–1 Ajaccio