Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 15:00
Lorient
01 Full time
Toulouse
Lorient 0–1 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 24%
Away 30%

💡 Lorient are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1463 Lorient rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1490 vs 1463).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientWDLDL1.0 ppg
ToulouseWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1490
Toulouse1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 26% · 22%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning55% · 18% · 27%

AI match preview

Lorient and Toulouse face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw and away victory remain viable outcomes. With expected goals of 1.77 for Lorient and 1.10 for Toulouse, a closely contested match with a 1-1 scoreline appears most probable. There's also a moderate chance of goals, with a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Lorient 0–1 Toulouse
Aug 2022 Toulouse 2–2 Lorient