Nantes vs Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 15:00
Nantes
22 Full time
Troyes
Nantes 2–2 Troyes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 18%
Away 18%

💡 Nantes are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1455 v 1356 Nantes rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nantes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1455 vs 1356).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nantes
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Troyes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesDDLDL0.6 ppg
TroyesLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1455
Troyes1356
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 24% · 25%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning78% · 8% · 14%

AI match preview

Nantes enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 64% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.00 compared to Troyes' 1.37. While the model suggests a home win is most probable, the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 66% probability for both over 2.5 goals and BTTS, fans can anticipate an engaging match—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Nantes 2–2 Troyes
Dec 2022 Troyes 0–0 Nantes