Montpellier vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 17:05
Montpellier
10 Full time
Rennes
Montpellier 1–0 Rennes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1562 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Montpellier v Rennes

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1463).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierWWDLL1.4 ppg
RennesDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1463
Rennes1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 28% · 34%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning13% · 33% · 54%

AI match preview

Montpellier and Rennes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with Rennes holding a slight edge at 42% to claim victory, while a draw and home win are also plausible outcomes. The expected goals tally is tight at 1.48 for Montpellier and 1.40 for Rennes, suggesting a competitive match likely to produce goals, supported by a 60% chance both teams will score and a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Montpellier 1–0 Rennes
Oct 2022 Rennes 3–0 Montpellier