Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 28 Apr, 21:00
Strasbourg
12 Full time
Lyon
Strasbourg 1–2 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 28%
Away 41%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1555 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1465).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Strasbourg

Green = favours Strasbourg · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StrasbourgWLLWW1.8 ppg
LyonDWWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Strasbourg1465
Lyon1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 27% · 46%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning16% · 30% · 54%

AI match preview

Strasbourg hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives the visitors a 41% chance to win, slightly edging out the home side's 31% probability. With expected goals favoring Lyon at 1.69 to Strasbourg's 1.26 and a 60% chance both teams score, a lively contest seems likely, although a 1-1 draw remains the most probable exact score. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 57%, suggesting an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.69

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Strasbourg 1–2 Lyon
Jan 2023 Lyon 1–2 Strasbourg