Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 30 Apr, 20:45
Marseille
21 Full time
Auxerre
Marseille 2–1 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 11%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1631 v 1440 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Marseille v Auxerre

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1631 vs 1440).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWDDWW2.2 ppg
AuxerreLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1631
Auxerre1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning83% · 13% · 4%

AI match preview

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals advantage of 2.22 to 0.95. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 61% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance both teams will score. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered with caution—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.22 – 0.95

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Marseille 2–1 Auxerre
Sept 2022 Auxerre 0–2 Marseille