Toulouse vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Tue 2 May, 21:00
Toulouse
01 Full time
Lens
Toulouse 0–1 Lens

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 26%
Away 54%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1630 Lens rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1630 vs 1477).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLLWLW1.2 ppg
LensWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1477
Lens1630
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 30% · 45%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning6% · 43% · 51%

AI match preview

Toulouse welcome Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives the visitors a 54% chance to take all three points, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 26%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.05 for Toulouse and 1.45 for Lens, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With just a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these statistical projections are probabilistic and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.45

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Toulouse 0–1 Lens
Oct 2022 Lens 3–0 Toulouse