Brest vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Wed 3 May, 21:00
Brest
20 Full time
Nantes
Brest 2–0 Nantes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1460 v 1450 Brest rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1460 vs 1450).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestDWDWD1.8 ppg
NantesDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1460
Nantes1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning44% · 18% · 38%

AI match preview

Brest and Nantes are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Brest at 41%, though a draw and Nantes win remain realistic outcomes. The expected goals are tight, 1.31 for Brest and 1.19 for Nantes, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 52% chance both teams score and under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Brest 2–0 Nantes
Oct 2022 Nantes 4–1 Brest