Nice vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 17:00
Nice
21 Full time
Rennes
Nice 2–1 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1536 v 1554 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1536 vs 1554).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceDLLLW0.8 ppg
RennesLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1536
Rennes1554
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 33% · 27%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning40% · 20% · 40%

AI match preview

Nice and Rennes face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain close possibilities. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Nice at 1.16 and Rennes at 0.91, pointing to a likely 1-1 scoreline. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% probability of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a balanced game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Nice 2–1 Rennes
Jan 2023 Rennes 2–1 Nice