Ajaccio vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 7 May, 15:00
Ajaccio
00 Full time
Toulouse
Ajaccio 0–0 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 25%
Away 52%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1320 v 1469 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajaccio v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1469 vs 1320).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Ajaccio

Green = favours Ajaccio · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaccioLLLDL0.2 ppg
ToulouseLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Ajaccio1320
Toulouse1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 28% · 53%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning14% · 20% · 67%

AI match preview

Ajaccio hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 52% probability, though a draw remains a close possibility at 25%. The expected goals tally suggests a moderately open game with Toulouse likely to edge the scoring at 1.58 to 0.84, but a 1-1 draw is the most probable exact scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities below 50%, this match could be tight and competitive; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Ajaccio 0–0 Toulouse
Jan 2023 Toulouse 2–0 Ajaccio