Lorient vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 7 May, 15:00
Lorient
21 Full time
Brest
Lorient 2–1 Brest

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 30%
Away 28%

💡 Lorient have a slight edge — leaning Lorient, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1473 Lorient rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1503 vs 1473).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientLDLLW0.8 ppg
BrestWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1503
Brest1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning43% · 38% · 19%

AI match preview

Lorient host Brest in a Ligue 1 clash where the model gives the home side a 42% chance of victory, slightly ahead of a draw at 30% and an away win at 28%. With expected goals favoring Lorient 1.34 to 0.83, a tight contest is likely, reflected in the most probable scoreline of 1-1. Fans can anticipate a moderately low-scoring game, with just a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability of both teams scoring; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lorient 2–1 Brest
Oct 2022 Brest 1–2 Lorient