Troyes vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 7 May, 20:45
Troyes
13 Full time
Paris SG
Troyes 1–3 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (76%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 9%
Draw 15%
Away 76%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 93.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 93.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1353 v 1641 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1353).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLLLDL0.2 ppg
Paris SGLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1353
Paris SG1641
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model6% · 16% · 78%
Power Rating19% · 12% · 69%
Machine-learning2% · 19% · 79%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to claim victory at Troyes, with a 76% chance according to the model and a high confidence level of 93/100. The expected goals suggest a 0.63 to 2.55 advantage for the visitors, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. While there's a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is less likely at 44%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.63 – 2.55

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Troyes 1–3 Paris SG
Oct 2022 Paris SG 4–3 Troyes