Paris SG vs Ajaccio Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 21:00
Paris SG
50 Full time
Ajaccio
Paris SG 5–0 Ajaccio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (86%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 86%
Draw 10%
Away 5%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 9 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1648 v 1323 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1648 vs 1323).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Ajaccio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWWLW2.4 ppg
AjaccioLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1648
Ajaccio1323
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model79% · 14% · 7%
Power Rating80% · 12% · 8%
Machine-learning94% · 5% · 1%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to secure a home win against Ajaccio, with an 86% probability and a high confidence rating of 95/100. The model projects a 2-0 victory, expecting Paris SG to score nearly three goals while limiting Ajaccio to under one. With a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises plenty of action, though all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.90 – 0.83

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Paris SG 5–0 Ajaccio
Oct 2022 Ajaccio 0–3 Paris SG