Brest vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 15:00
Brest
10 Full time
Auxerre
Brest 1–0 Auxerre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 26%
Away 24%

💡 Brest are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1436 Brest rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1436).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestDWDWL1.6 ppg
AuxerreWWDLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1465
Auxerre1436
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 24%
Power Rating52% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning50% · 25% · 26%

AI match preview

Brest holds a slight edge with a 50% chance of victory over Auxerre, who are pegged at 24%, while a draw stands at 26%. The model projects a balanced contest with an expected 1.62 goals for Brest and 1.07 for Auxerre, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite a lean towards a home win. With both teams likely to find the net (54% BTTS) and a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could offer an entertaining mix of tight defense and attacking moments. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Brest 1–0 Auxerre
Oct 2022 Auxerre 1–1 Brest