Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 15:00
Toulouse
00 Full time
Nantes
Toulouse 0–0 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1418 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Nantes

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1466 vs 1418).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWLWLD1.4 ppg
NantesDLDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1466
Nantes1418
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 28% · 25%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning48% · 25% · 27%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% probability of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 25% and 29% respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Toulouse projected to score 1.61 and Nantes 1.14, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the home win pick. With over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, this match promises attacking intent, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Toulouse 0–0 Nantes
Aug 2022 Nantes 3–1 Toulouse