Monaco vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 17:05
Monaco
00 Full time
Lille
Monaco 0–0 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1581 Lille rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1560 vs 1581).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoDWLLW1.4 ppg
LilleLWDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1560
Lille1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 25% · 45%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning30% · 35% · 34%

AI match preview

Monaco hosts Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, with a 34% chance for the home side and 27% for a draw. Expected goals suggest an open game, with 1.53 for Monaco and 1.86 for Lille, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an entertaining match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.86

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Monaco 0–0 Lille
Oct 2022 Lille 4–3 Monaco