Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Fri 19 May, 21:00
Lyon
31 Full time
Monaco
Lyon 3–1 Monaco

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 23%
Away 35%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1559 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Monaco

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1562 vs 1559).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWLWWL1.8 ppg
MonacoWLLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1562
Monaco1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 28% · 39%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 15% · 35%

AI match preview

Lyon and Monaco are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 42% probability, though a draw and an away victory remain realistic outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight match with both sides likely to find the net, reflected in the 60% chance of BTTS and a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals, while the most probable scoreline is 1-1. These projections provide a statistical insight into the game, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lyon 3–1 Monaco
Sept 2022 Monaco 2–1 Lyon