Nantes vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 20 May, 17:00
Nantes
03 Full time
Montpellier
Nantes 0–3 Montpellier

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 26%
Away 36%

💡 Nantes have a slight edge — leaning Nantes, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1496 Montpellier rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Montpellier is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1422).
  • Montpellier is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Montpellier
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLDLLD0.4 ppg
MontpellierLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1422
Montpellier1496
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 26% · 44%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning31% · 19% · 50%

AI match preview

Nantes and Montpellier are set for a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39% confidence but also acknowledging a strong chance for a draw or away victory. The expected goals suggest an open game with Montpellier edging slightly ahead in attack (1.75 expected goals vs. 1.43), making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging, goal-filled encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Nantes 0–3 Montpellier
Jan 2023 Montpellier 0–3 Nantes