Brest vs Clermont Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 15:00
Brest
21 Full time
Clermont
Brest 2–1 Clermont

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1509 Clermont rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1473 vs 1509).
  • Clermont is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Clermont
Form Index
Clermont
Goal expectation
Clermont
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Clermont. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWDWLW2 ppg
ClermontWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1473
Clermont1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 32% · 43%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning31% · 32% · 37%

AI match preview

Brest and Clermont are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Brest at 40% for a home win, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight, low-scoring affair around 1-1, with both teams finding the net in roughly 45% of scenarios. Over 2.5 goals looks less likely at 38%, indicating a match where defenses could hold strong. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Brest 2–1 Clermont
Oct 2022 Clermont 1–3 Brest