Troyes vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 15:00
Troyes
11 Full time
Strasbourg
Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 26%
Away 57%

💡 Strasbourg are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1338 v 1491 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Troyes v Strasbourg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1338).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Strasbourg
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLDLLL0.2 ppg
StrasbourgWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1338
Strasbourg1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 27% · 47%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning8% · 50% · 43%

AI match preview

Troyes face Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 57%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with Strasbourg slightly ahead (1.70 to 1.24), and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.70

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg
Jan 2023 Strasbourg 2–3 Troyes