Auxerre vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 20:45
Auxerre
12 Full time
Paris SG
Auxerre 1–2 Paris SG

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 16%
Away 72%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1652 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Auxerre v Paris SG

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1428).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreWDLDL1 ppg
Paris SGWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1428
Paris SG1652
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 18% · 75%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 63%
Machine-learning5% · 11% · 84%

AI match preview

Paris SG heads to Auxerre as strong favorites with a 72% probability of securing an away win, supported by a high confidence rating of 88/100. The model projects PSG to net around 2.3 goals while limiting Auxerre to 0.6, making a 0-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. While there's a moderate 55% chance of over 2.5 goals, BTTS sits at 42%, reminding us these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.60 – 2.30

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Auxerre 1–2 Paris SG
Nov 2022 Paris SG 5–0 Auxerre