Clermont vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 21:00
Clermont
20 Full time
Lorient
Clermont 2–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 25%
Away 34%

💡 Clermont have a slight edge — leaning Clermont, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1500 Lorient rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1499 vs 1500).
  • Clermont is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Clermont
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Clermont

Green = favours Clermont · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ClermontWWDWL2 ppg
LorientLWWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Clermont1499
Lorient1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 27% · 47%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning46% · 16% · 39%

AI match preview

Clermont hosts Lorient in a closely matched Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model suggests a tight encounter with an expected goals total leaning towards 2.82 and a most probable 1-1 scoreline, reflecting a balanced offensive effort. With both teams likely to find the net and a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals, this game promises competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.64

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Clermont 2–0 Lorient
Aug 2022 Lorient 2–1 Clermont