Lille vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 21:00
Lille
21 Full time
Nantes
Lille 2–1 Nantes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 18%
Away 13%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1403 Lille rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1403).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleDWLDW1.6 ppg
NantesDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1593
Nantes1403
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 23% · 16%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning82% · 12% · 7%

AI match preview

Lille are favored to win this Ligue 1 clash against Nantes, with a 69% probability according to the model, reflecting their stronger expected goals tally of 2.04 compared to Nantes’ 0.96. Despite the home advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting a competitive encounter with a moderate 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability of both teams scoring. These projections offer insight into the match dynamics but remember to gamble responsibly and consider them as statistical probabilities rather than certainties (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.04 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Lille 2–1 Nantes
Aug 2022 Nantes 1–1 Lille