Marseille vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 21:00
Marseille
12 Full time
Brest
Marseille 1–2 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 18%
Away 13%

💡 Marseille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1619 v 1483 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1619 vs 1483).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWWLWL1.8 ppg
BrestDWLWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1619
Brest1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 25% · 19%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning71% · 21% · 8%

AI match preview

Marseille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 69% probability of securing a home win against Brest, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.84 to 0.98. While the model favors Marseille, the 18% draw chance and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 highlight the potential for a closely contested match. With a 54% likelihood for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging game, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Marseille 1–2 Brest
Aug 2022 Brest 1–1 Marseille