Montpellier vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 21:00
Montpellier
23 Full time
Nice
Montpellier 2–3 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 29%
Away 34%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1525 Nice rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Montpellier v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1515 vs 1525).
  • Montpellier is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierWWLDW2 ppg
NiceLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1515
Nice1525
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 31% · 41%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning25% · 42% · 33%

AI match preview

Montpellier and Nice are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 37%, though a draw is the most probable outcome at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight match, with a predicted 1-1 scoreline reflecting balanced attacking potential from both teams. With under 2.5 goals favored at 59% and both teams to score at just under 50%, this encounter could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Montpellier 2–3 Nice
Jan 2023 Nice 6–1 Montpellier