Toulouse vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 27 May, 21:00
Toulouse
11 Full time
Auxerre
Toulouse 1–1 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 23%
Away 27%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1421 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Auxerre

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Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1467 vs 1421).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWLDDD1.2 ppg
AuxerreDLDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1467
Auxerre1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 26% · 20%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 24% · 24%

AI match preview

Toulouse holds a 50% chance of securing a home win against Auxerre, with the model suggesting a moderately balanced contest given a 23% draw probability and 27% for an away win. Expected goals favor Toulouse at 1.78 compared to Auxerre’s 1.03, though the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive match-up. There is a slight edge towards goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% probability both teams will score; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Toulouse 1–1 Auxerre
Jan 2023 Auxerre 0–5 Toulouse